Studying Atmospheric Pollution in Urban Areas
by Mathematical Modelling and Measurements
Contribution to subproject SATURN
Jaakko Kukkonen, Ari Karppinen, Paivi Aarnio, Jari Walden
Jaakko Kukkonen, Finnish Meteorological Institute,
Sahaajankatu 20 E, FIN - 00810 Helsinki, Finland
Summary
This contribution is cooperation of the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and the Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council (YTV).
A modelling system was developed for evaluating the traffic volumes, emissions from stationary and vehicular sources, and atmospheric dispersion of pollution in an urban area. The modelling system was refined to allow for the chemical interaction of pollutants, originating from a large number of urban sources. We have investigated the factors leading to air quality episodes and the various possibilities to control these events.
A measurement campaign was conducted in a street canyon in Helsinki during 1997. The hourly concentrations of CO, NOX, NO2 and O3 were measured on the street and roof levels. The experimental results were compared with the results produced by the OSPM model. The overall agreement of measured and predicted concentrations was good for CO and NOX.
We have also developed a preliminary model in order to evaluate the exposure of population to air pollution. Using a graphical information system, the modelled NO2 concentrations have been combined with information concerning activities of population, land use and other data. The computed results illustrate the temporal and spatial variation of population exposure to NO2.
Aim of research
The objective is to improve our ability of establishing source-receptor
relationships at the urban scale, both for gaseous pollutants and particulate
matter. We have refined atmospheric dispersion models in order to allow
for the chemistry of nitrogen oxides and the dispersion of particles. Field
measurement campaigns are conducted in order to evaluate and validate dispersion
modelling systems. We also aim to model exposure to air pollution, in order
to quantify the adverse health effects of air pollution.
Activities during the year
We have developed a modelling system for evaluating the traffic volumes, emissions from stationary and vehicular sources, and atmospheric dispersion of pollution in an urban area; containing the UDM-FMI (Karppinen et al., 1998a) and CAR-FMI (Harkonen et al., 1997) models. The modelling system was refined to allow for the chemical interaction of pollutants, originating from a large number of urban sources (MOD 4). The predicted NOx and NO2 concentrations were compared with the results of the urban air quality monitoring network of YTV. The argeement of predicted and measured NO2 concentrations was good at all the stations considered (Karppinen et al., 1997 and 1998 b,c).
We have conducted a measurement campaign in a street canyon in Helsinki during 1997, in cooperation with YTV and National Environmental Research Institute (Denmark). The hourly concentrations of CO, NOX, NO2 and O3 were measured on the street and roof levels. The relevant meteorological parameters (wind direction and speed, temperature and solar radiation) were measured on the roof level. We applied on-site electronic traffic counts. The experimental results were compared with the results produced by the OSPM model (Hertel and Berkowicz, 1989). The overall agreement of measured and predicted concentrations was good for CO and NOX; however, the model slightly overestimated the measured concentrations of NO2 (EXP 1).
We have also developed models in order to evaluate the exposure of population to air pollution, particularly for nitrogen oxides. We have utilised emission inventories collected previously, and the above mentioned atmospheric dispersion modelling system. This work was cooperation with YTV and National Public Health Institute (KTL). The computed results illustrate the temporal and spatial variation of population exposure to NO2 (INT 4).
Principal results
The dispersion models CAR-FMI and UDM-FMI allow for the chemical transformation
of nitrogen oxides. However, the plumes originating from various sources
also interact chemically with each other and with the background concentrations
in the urban area. For instance, it is not uncommon that urban background
O3 concentration vanishes, caused by the depletion of O3
in the oxidation of NO into NO2. However, regulatory modelling
systems commonly assume for simplicity that the urban background O3
concentration is equal to the regional O3 background concentration.
We have developed a modelling system, which allows for the chemical interdependence
of the NOx concentrations originating from various sources and
the O3 concentrations (Karppinen et al., 1997 and 1998 b,c)
(MOD 4).

Figure 1. The concentrations of nitrogen oxides (NO2), carbon
monoxide (CO) and thoracic particles (PM10) during a severe
air quality episode in December 1995, measured at a station in downtown
Helsinki. Source: Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council.
Work is in progress for extending the urban dispersion modelling system to allow for particle dispersion. We have developed a simple semi-empirical model for evaluating the concentrations of urban fine particles (MOD 4). The modelling system is based on a particle emission model, urban dispersion models and data from the air quality monitoring network of YTV.
Severe air pollution episodes occur in Finnish cities every two to five years; these can last for a few days. The authorities need to be prepared for these events and the public has to be informed on the situation. The most important pollutants in the episode situations are nitrogen dioxide and particles. During an episode these pollutants at the ground level in cities are mainly originated from road traffic. We have investigated the occurrence of episodes nationally (Kukkonen et al., 1998a), meteorological factors leading to episodes (Kukkonen et al., 1998b) and their forecasting, the exhaust emissions from road traffic and the conceivable measures for controlling traffic during an episode (Makela et al., 1997 and 1998). This work was cooperation with Technical Research Centre (VTT).
A very severe episode prevailed in Finland in December 1995. For instance,
the measured NO2 concentrations in Helsinki increased to a substantially
high level, even compared internationally, as shown in Figure 1. Figure
2 presents the corresponding predicted spatial concentration distribution
of NO2.
Main conclusions
The comparison of measured results in a street canyon in Helsinki with the predictions of the OSPM model provide more evidence for the credibility of the OSPM model. The experimental street canyon database is available also for testing of other street canyon dispersion models.
We have investigated the occurrence of episodes, meteorological factors leading to episodes and conceivable measures for controlling traffic during an episode. For instance, according to dispersion model computations, a feasible NOx emission reduction by 19 % would lower the ambient NO2 concentrations by 0-15 %, in various urban areas (Makela et al., 1998).
A model was developed for evaluating the exposure of population to air pollution, particularly for nitrogen oxides. The results computed for the greater Helsinki area illustrate the temporal and spatial variation of population exposure to NO2.
Aim for the coming year
Work is in progress for extending the modelling system to allow for
particle dispersion. The main objective for the coming year is to review
available literature on aerosol modelling, develop models for aerosol processes
in urban environments, extend the existing dispersion modelling system
accordingly, and compare particle model predictions with experimental results.
Acknowledgements
Financial support from the Academy of Finland
is gratefully acknowledged. The work described here concerning particle
dispersion and exposure modelling are cooperation with the EXPAND project
within the Finnish Research Programme on Environmental Health (http://www.ktl.fi/sytty)
and the EXPOLIS project (http://www.ktl.fi/expolis).

Figure 2. Predicted spatial concentration distribution of NO2
in the Helsinki metropolitan area during an air pollution episode, 28 December
1995 at 16.00 (m g/m3).
References
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Karppinen, A., J. Kukkonen, M. Konttinen, E. Rantakrans, E. Valkonen, J. Harkonen, T. Koskentalo, and T. Elolahde, 1997. Comparison of dispersion model predictions and the results from an urban air quality measurement network. In: Power, H., Tirabassi, T., and Brebbia, C. A. (eds.). Air Pollution V. CMP, Southampton, pp. 405-411.
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