Generation and Validation of Emission Inventory for Lisbon Region

A contribution to subproject SATURN

C. Borrego*, O. Tchepel*, N. Barros*, M. Lopes*, M. Conceição*, M.J.Valinhas*, A.I.Miranda* and S. Lemos**

* Dep. of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro, 3810  Aveiro, PORTUGAL
 **Institute of Environment and Development, Campus Universitario, 3810, Aveiro, Portugal


 

1. Summary

This report describes the contribution of the University of Aveiro to the SATURN subproject during the last year of work. Principal results and main conclusions on the generation and validation of emission inventories are presented, through the application of different methodologies to the Lisbon Region.
 

2. Aim of the research

The main purpose of the contribution of the University of Aveiro to the SATURN subproject is the development on an air quality management system for coastal urban areas. Tasks performed under this contribution are included in the following working groups: MOD3, EXP3, VAL3, VAL4 and INT3.
 

3. Activities during the year

During this period of work there was a redefinition of the contribution to the MOD working group, which will now address the coupling of a boundary layer model with a mesoscale model.

The activity developed under the EXP working group was the data processing of results obtained from the field campaign LisbEx97, on the Lisbon Region. These processing included the preparation of meteorological, air quality and emissions databases.

Under VAL working group the main actions were related to the analysis of the data obtained from LisbEx97 and long-term data for the same region. A statistical analysis of long-term meteorological and air quality data was performed, as well as time and spatial variation analysis of data from the field campaign. Other line of work, which is described in more detail on the following items of this report, was the development of data processing methodologies in order to establish a specific emission inventory with high temporal and spatial resolution.

The other activity performed during the year was the linkage between a Gaussian model and a photochemical model with the CBM-IV mechanism, as a contribution to INT working group.
 

4. Principal results

Numeric models applied to atmospheric pollution problems require detailed emission data. At present time, several methodologies to achieve high spatial and temporal resolution have been developed. However, quality control of compiled emission inventories is of great importance.

The generation of an emission inventory for Lisbon Region is based on two different approaches: a top-down approach for disaggregation of CORINAIR inventory, and a bottom-up estimation considering emission factors and a local data set *Borrego, 1998*. These methodologies were applied to road traffic emissions. Validation of emissions inventory was performed by inter-comparison of results obtained by different approaches.
 

4.1. Top-down approach

The CORINAIR90 National Inventory *CORINAIR90,1994* was the basis for the spatial and temporal downscale of CO, NOx and VOC emissions from road traffic in Portugal.
 

4.1.1. Spatial Downscale

The NUT III area emissions data, from the CORINAIR inventory, have been downscaled to municipal level, using the fuel consumption as scale factor. The fuel and vehicle types were taken into account.

As a next step, population data were used as a criteria for downscaling of emissions to sub-municipal level ("freguesia"). This data was obtained from Census 91 of the National Institute of Statistics.
 

4.1.2. Temporal Downscale

The method aims at modelling the ‘typical‘ rather than the ‘actual’ emission dynamics using surrogate data. In order to find the fixed emission quota to apply in Portugal, traffic count from numerous roads were used. The data available includes information on daily mean traffic (DMT) for Summer and Winter periods, as well as for day and night time. The results of an analysis of DMT performed for all the count locations show relations of 53/47 for Summer/Winter periods and 87/13 for day/night periods.

Annual emissions have been downscaled to daily emissions, considering a Summer period between April and September (183 days) and a Winter period between October and March (182 days). Those daily emissions have also been broken down to hourly emissions, assuming that the diurnal period corresponds to 16 hours and the nocturnal period to 8 hours.
 

4.2. Bottom-up approach.

The bottom-up approach provides estimates for a particular region (administrative units) by using a local data set and applying emission factors.

In the scope of this work road traffic hot emissions have been estimated for four vehicle categories: light-duty gasoline vehicles (or passengers cars), light-duty diesel vehicles, heavy-duty vehicles and two-wheeled vehicles. A distinction was also made concerning driving modes. Three modes were considered: urban, rural and highway.

Main roads were processed as line sources and their emissions were calculated on the basis of emission factors, mean daily traffic and road length, according to the following equation:
 



 


where: E i – daily emission of pollutant i for road segment; eij - emission factor for pollutant i and vehicle type j; DMT - daily mean traffic; L - road segment length.

Highway emission factors have been applied for highways, principal and complementary itineraries. For other roads rural emission factors were applied. Data related to the DMT from 57 measurement points were considered.

A Geographical Information System was used for road segments length calculation. Line sources have been subdivided, taking into account the existing crossroads. Traffic data applied to each segment resulted from measurements along each segment or, in its absence, along the nearest one.

The results obtained by the application of this methodology are presented on figure 1. The figure shows the considered line sources, the measurements points and the NOx emission rate (kg/km) for a typical summer day for each road.
 
 


 

4.3 Comparison of the results

For data validation the emissions inventories obtained by two different approaches were compared. This comparison was performed separately outside Lisbon City and for some areas inside the city.

Daily pollutants emissions associated to main roads outside the city were aggregated for each NUT III and compared with the emissions from CORINAIR. Emissions estimated for line sources do not represent all traffic emissions and, therefore, only the magnitude of the data should be compared.

There are no sufficient traffic data to apply the bottom-up approach for the entire city. Therefore only two "freguesias" were selected. Comparison of the obtained emission data with disaggregated CORINAIR inventory indicates that emissions for this area are underestimated.
 

5. Main conclusions

With the increase of spatial resolution of the national inventory the error also increases as a result of the spatial disaggregation process. Comparison of data obtained by different methodologies is an important task for understanding the magnitude of uncertainties associated with an emission inventory to be used for atmospheric modelling purposes. Crucial issues for the development of these methodologies are the availability of detailed base data for performing the bottom-up approach, and the development and testing of different criteria used for the top-down approach.
 

6. Aim for the coming year

During 1999 main work will be developed for the MOD3 sub-group, on the task Development of a boundary layer model coupled with a mesoscale model. Under this work a linkage is intended between the mesoscale model MEMO/MARS and the microscale model VADIS.

Actions for 1999 include the definition of model scales and overlapping grid extension, the definition of parameters to exchange between scales and the development of the linkage process. This linkage will consist in a two-way transfer information, using a complete exchange of physical variables. Another line of work will be the processing of data obtained during a field campaign, to be used for model validation, and wind tunnel experiments planned for the evaluation of model performance in describing flow and dispersion over complex geometry, such as street canyons.
 

7. Acknowledgements

This work is supported by PRAXIS XXI grants and funded by PEAM/P/AMA/603/95, Praxis/3/3.2/EMG/1949/95, Praxis/3/3.2/AMB/38/94 projects.
 

8. References

Borrego C., N. Barros, O. Tchepel, M.Lopes, A. Miranda – Development of an emission data base for air pollutants from mobile sources in Portugal. In: Urban Transport, WIT Press,1998, 285-294 p.

Borrego C., N. Barros, M.Lopes, M. Conceição, M.J Valinhas, O. Tchepel, C. Ferreira, M. Coutinho and S. Lemos – Emission inventory for simulation and validation of mesoscale models. In: EUROTRAC CORINAIR90 - Inventario Nacional de Emissões Atmosféricas, Lisboa, 1994.